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Tailoring Cash Transfers to the Ukrainian Context: A Decision-Making Framework for Lump-Sum vs Regular Payments

Writer's picture: Thomas ByrnesThomas Byrnes

The ongoing humanitarian crisis in Ukraine continues to demand innovative and effective aid solutions. At the recent Ukraine Cash Working Group (CWG) meeting, our lead consultant Thomas Byrnes presented Market Impact's report on "Harnessing the Transformative Potential of AI for MPCA." Later in the meeting discussion moved on to highlight a critical challenge: how to choose the right cash transfer modality to best serve the diverse needs of affected populations. Specifically, there was debate over the use of one-off lump sum payments versus smaller, multiple monthly transfers.

To address this challenge, and support the work of the Ukraine humantirian actors we've developed a comprehensive guidance note titled "Tailoring Cash Transfers to the Ukrainian Context: A Decision-Making Framework for Lump-Sum vs. Regular Payments,

Why Cash Transfers Matter

Cash transfers have emerged as a powerful tool in humanitarian response, offering flexibility, dignity, and a boost to the local economy. This approach empowers recipients to make choices that best align with their individual needs and priorities. However, deciding between lump-sum and regular payments is not a simple matter. Each has unique advantages and drawbacks, and the optimal choice can significantly impact the effectiveness of aid programs.


Key Insights: Lump Sum vs. Regular Transfers

Our guidance note delves into the complexities of this decision, drawing on a wealth of research, case studies from Ukraine and beyond, and expert opinions. Here's a summary of our key findings:

  • Lump-sum transfers:

  • Pros: Ideal for immediate, large-scale needs (e.g., home repairs, business investments); can empower recipients and stimulate local economies.

  • Cons: Risk of mismanagement or misuse; may not address long-term needs; potential for security risks and unequal distribution.

  • Regular transfers:

  • Pros: Offer ongoing financial stability, support better financial planning, and reduce the risk of misuse.

  • Cons: Might not cover large, urgent expenses; potential for dependency; can be administratively burdensome.

  • Mixed approach: A hybrid model combining both modalities may offer the best of both worlds, addressing both immediate and long-term needs.

Decision-Making Framework

Recognizing that there is no single "right" answer and  the complexity of the situation, our guidance note provides a decision-making framework to guide aid organizations in selecting the most appropriate cash transfer approach for specific situations. This framework takes into account:

  • Program Objectives: Are you aiming for rapid relief, economic recovery, or supplementing existing social benefits?

  • Recipient Needs: What are the most pressing needs of your target population?

  • Contextual Factors: What are the local market conditions, security risks, and your organization's capacity?


Download the Report

We invite you to download our full report to explore these findings in greater detail. By understanding the nuances of different cash transfer modalities, we can collectively enhance the effectiveness of aid programs and empower those affected by the crisis in Ukraine.



We believe this report will be a valuable resource for all stakeholders involved in the humanitarian response in Ukraine. Let's continue the conversation and work together to optimize cash assistance for maximum impact.



Disclaimer: This report was developed using AI assistance to analyze existing research and case studies. The findings and recommendations should be considered in conjunction with other relevant information and expert opinions.

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