Weekly insights on humanitarian & development trends. 7,900+ subscribers.
Most of what I have written in this newsletter over the last six months has been a record of things falling apart. The funding architecture coming undone. The Strait of Hormuz closure. The jet fuel...
What the new Mercy Corps report from Hormuz to the Frontlines of Hunger reveals about the structural limit this war exposed Most humanitarian crises I have worked on in 15 years shared one structural...
The AI headlines this month have been dominated by two launches. Anthropic released Claude Opus 4.7 on 16 April. OpenAI released GPT5.5 on 23 April, calling it "a new class of intelligence for real...
A field guide for operating inside a contracting system Demand is surging. Supply is collapsing. The space between those two curves is the crisis, and it is structurally different from anything the...
A technical follow-on to The Jet Fuel Cliff, 13 April 2026. This piece develops the supply chain mechanics behind the jet fuel finding in that newsletter and sits alongside The Long Reach of War, the...
The ceasefire came on April 7. The 40-day threshold the FAO Chief Economist identified as the point at which farmer behaviour locks in for two harvest cycles was crossed on April 9, two days into the...
Three weeks ago I wrote here about the three principles we teach at AidGPT: treat AI like a 21-year-old intern, use its mind not its memory, and remember that specificity is safety. That piece landed...
Summary: Semafor reported on March 26 that the State Department has transferred $1.25 billion in foreign aid to President Trump's Board of Peace, pulling $1 billion from international disaster...
Over the past month, I've written about the structural shifts reshaping humanitarian funding the $2 billion OCHA deal with its political conditions, the withdra
The blast radius of this war will not be measured in kilometres. It will be measured in currencies, commodities, and the quiet compression of lives that were al
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In Sudan, AIgenerated audio, video, and images are being weaponised by both sides of the conflict. A September 2025 CDAC Network report found
Over the past two weeks, I've published two pieces analysing the shifting landscape of humanitarian funding. "Adapt, Shrink, or Die" examined the USOCHA $2 bill
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